HONG KONG: Hong Kong's economy contracted 1.4% in the second quarter from the same period a year earlier, advance government data showed on Monday, as exports and investments remained sluggish, and COVID-19 weighed on a wide range of economic activity.
The contraction was worse than the 0.6% drop forecast by DBS and a 0.5% decline seen by Standard Chartered. The city's economy shrank a revised 3.9% in the first quarter.
"Looking ahead, the worsening global economic prospects will continue to weigh on Hong Kong's export performance in the remainder of the year," the city government said in a statement, adding that external trade may get some relief if COVID restrictions on movements across the land border with the mainland are relaxed.
"Domestically, economic activities are likely to show further revival in the rest of the year, but the extent will depend on how the local epidemic evolves and how the tighter financial conditions affect consumer's spending power and sentiment," the government said.
Government measures, including a consumption voucher scheme, should lend support, it said.
On a quarterly basis, the economy grew a seasonally adjusted 0.9% in April-June period, as compared with a revised 2.9% decline in the previous quarter.
Hong Kong's borders have been largely closed since early 2020, as the city generally mirrors mainland China in adopting a "dynamic zero-COVID" strategy that aims to curb all outbreaks.,
,新闻电报群（www.tel8.vip）是一个Telegram群组分享平台。新闻电报群包括新闻电报群、telegram群组索引、Telegram群组导航、新加坡telegram群组、telegram中文群组、telegram群组（其他）、Telegram 美国 群组、telegram群组爬虫、电报群 科学上网、小飞机 怎么 加 群、tg群等内容。新闻电报群为广大电报用户提供各种电报群组/电报频道/电报机器人导航服务。
While its precautions are not as strict as those on the mainland, the global financial hub retains some of the tightest curbs in the world.
"The zero-Covid policy will remain the biggest uncertainty of Hong Kong's economy in the short run as the pace of opening remains slow," said Gary Ng, senior economist at Natixis Corporate and Investment Bank.
"The current adjustment in border control will not be enough to bring the economy back to its normal trajectory," Ng said.
Last week, Financial Secretary Paul Chan said Hong Kong may have to further trim its annual economic growth forecast later in August, for the second time in three months, to factor in more external risks for the economy.
Hong Kong is expected to have a better performance in the second half of the year.
In May, the government lowered the real gross domestic product forecast for 2022 to 1%-2% from 2%-3.5%, after taking into account the deteriorating export outlook.
"If the border can reopen internationally in the fourth quarter, of course, it will have a boosting effect on the overall economy and atmosphere," said Samuel Tse, an economist at DBS Bank. - Reuters